Austerity in a post-COVID world

Austerity in a post-COVID world

In 2012 The IMF studied the correlation between credit-default-swap spreads and various economic indicators. Long term indicators—for deficits, economic growth and spending on pensions and health care—had little impact on spreads. But larger short term primary deficits (which exclude interest) were associated with notably wider spreads. So, too, was weaker current-year growth. Solvency should be [...]

Stocks, Output, Employment, Debt: A look at 08/09 and current data

Damn, I missed the 20% upswing. Shame. Did you also participate in the 30-50% drop down?(scroll down for stock examples: Apple, Google, Waste Connections, Royal Bank, CIBC, Enbridge, Fortis, CN Rail)A bear market is known for one thing: volatility. It’s great for trades — if you can time it right.We WILL see a lot more [...]

Genesis: The Beginning

Genesis: The Beginning

In the beginning there arose an idea.Many would consider leveraging equities as misguided in what, by all indicators, is: late in the cycle; the end of a ten year bull run; the precursor to a recession.After months of research and deliberation, I decided to invest on my own terms regardless of these facts. Without sounding [...]