Austerity in a post-COVID world

Austerity in a post-COVID world

In 2012 The IMF studied the correlation between credit-default-swap spreads and various economic indicators. Long term indicators—for deficits, economic growth and spending on pensions and health care—had little impact on spreads. But larger short term primary deficits (which exclude interest) were associated with notably wider spreads. So, too, was weaker current-year growth. Solvency should be [...]

Latecycle Portfolio: November 2019 Purchases

Latecycle Portfolio: November 2019 Purchases

I added five stocks to my portfolio the past month: Canwel Building Materials, Pembina Pipeline, Emera, Fortis, and Brookfield Property Partners. Spotlight:Canwel Building Materials (CWX) CanWel is a national distributor of construction materials, building products and a supplier of pressure-treating lumber in Canada.It serves an intermediary role in the construction materials supply chain. It made [...]

LateCycle Porfolio: August 2019 Purchases and Reflection

LateCycle Porfolio: August 2019 Purchases and Reflection

Let me start off with a small reflection: I am feeling bearish. And with good reason. The Trump/China affair is putting serious downward pressure on global stocks, coupled with sentiment that global growth is slowing and a recession is imminent within the next 12 months. What does this mean for my leveraged portfolio? First, it [...]